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Sat 01/15 | 7:00 PM UTC | Baton Rouge
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Arkansas Razorbacks 11-5, 6-9 ATS
ARK +6.5
ARK +230
Over 144.5
LSU Tigers 15-1, 13-3 ATS
LSU -6.5
LSU -280
Under 144.5

Expert Picks

Arkansas 65 @ LSU 58 | 01/15 | 7:00 PM UTC

LSU -6.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: What is going on here? Why is 15-1 LSU only 6.5 point favorites at home against this Arkansas team? My model is projecting an 11.5 point victory for the Tigers. The Razorbacks have failed to cover on the road against Mississippi State and Texas A&M. Those teams are way worse than LSU, who are 10-1 ATS at home. This almost feels too easy, but if you need another vote of confidence; KenPom makes this a 12 point game. LSU will continue to play well, especially at home, lay it.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+55 5-4 IN LAST 9 CBB ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 LSU ATS PICKS

Season Splits

11-5, 6-9 ATS
15-1, 13-3 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
40%
6-9-1
13-3
81%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
20%
1-4-1
10-1
90%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
0%
0-2
12-2
85%
When Spread was +4.5 to +8.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -8.5 to -4.5
0-0
4-1
80%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-2
10-1
90%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
20%
1-4-1
6-3
66%
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
28%
2-5-1
2-1
66%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After <4 Days Off
80%
4-1
5-0
100%
vs LSU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ARK
0-0
0-0