I feel like this is too small of a line for a ranked Xavier team coming off their second loss of the season to Villanova. The Musketeers are going to come prepared to make sure there is no losing streak and they might do so emphatically. Butler is one of the worst teams in the Big East and my model makes this one 8 points in favor of Xavier. The Bulldogs were just visited by Seton Hall and lost by 15, I don't see much of a reason the same thing can't happen here. Grab the 3 points of value from the model on Xavier to cover the spread.