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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
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Expert Picks
This line opened at -2 in favor of the Hoosiers and has since climbed to -4, which is why I'm sticking to the moneyline on this play. Indiana is coming off a road loss to Penn State in which the Hoosiers shot just 4-of-17 from the 3-point line (23.5 percent), well below their season average of 36.1 percent. Ohio State ranks No. 123 in the country at defending the 3-point line, so I expect the Hoosiers to have a better shooting performance tonight. The Buckeyes are is coming off an overtime win at Nebraska in which they made 16-of-34 3-pointers. That kind of shooting is unsustainable. I'm backing Indiana at Assembly Hall in a must-win game to avoid falling to 1-3 in Big Ten play.
The home team has covered the last four meetings, and I like that stat tonight with Indiana, which is 9-0 at home so far. The Buckeyes come in on a five-game win streak (3-2 ATS) while Indiana lost at Penn State in an ugly game on Sunday. Indiana takes smart shots (shooting 48.3 percent), but stingy defense makes the Hoosiers very good; opponents are shooting 35.4 percent, third best in the nation. I’m on the Hoosiers to win, moneyline.