At full strength, UConn is the better team by a fair margin, but the Huskies are without starters Tyrese Martin (12.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg) and Adama Sanogo (15.6 ppg, 6.3 rpg). That's substantial. WVU expects to have Sean McNeil (12.9 ppg) back after missing the last game. Always incredibly hard to play in Morgantown as well. It's UConn's first true road game. I don't like giving 2.5 points, though, as this may come down to the wire so we're on the moneyline.

Interesting to see UConn as the underdog in this matchup, my model has that as the wrong team favored... So I'll jump now with my projected number sitting closer to -1.5 for the Huskies. West Virginia has a tall task, and I would expect that if Connecticut doesn't win they will probably keep with within a bucket.