Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The line has now inflated to where I think Syracuse is the right side. The 2-3 zone can be difficult for which to prepare if you don't have a lot of time. Over the past five games, Syracuse has a +9.2 point differential, while West Virginia's is +2.6. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the points!
West Virginia isn't great defensively and I look for Buddy Boeheim to continue his hot shooting Sunday. He's 26 of 53 from deep over his last five games. Syracuse's length and 2-3 zone should disrupt the Mountaineers, helping the Orange at least stay close. Look for Syracuse to cover its sixth straight.
West Virginia doesn't see a lot of zone defense playing in the Big 12, and one practice day isn't enough to prepare for Syracuse's zone. In addition, Buddy Boeheim is on fire, having averaged 29.3 points and shooting 60.0 percent from 3-point range in his last three games. My simulations say Syracuse covers almost 70 percent of the time and wins by three, so you're getting good value at this number.
West Virginia had poor shot selection over the past month and lost four of eight coming into the tournament. But on Friday the Mountaineers put out their best performance against a very good perimeter defense team in Morehead State. West Virginia shot 32-of-63 from the field and 9-of-18 from 3-point land. Syracuse just played its best game of the year, but I’m on West Virginia to be able to recreate its last performance. Mountaineers to cover.