The Badgers have lost four of five and visit an Iowa team that beat them by 15 in Madison. Luka Garza had 30 in that game, and he should have another monster performance on Senior Day in Iowa City. The Hawkeyes own the nation's second-best offense in terms of efficiency, and are coming off a 102-point explosion versus Nebraska. Before that they manhandled Ohio State in Columbus. Lay the points.

Iowa hammered Wisconsin by 15 points in Madison, and on Sunday the Hawkeyes get the Badgers at home on Senior Day. Iowa is 7-4 against teams in the Top 25 while Wisconsin is just 3-7. My model says the Hawkeyes cover 60 percent of the time and win by nine, so you're getting good value with Iowa at this number.