Drake enters this game with a record of 18-1, yet it's not ranked in the AP Poll, and according to KenPom, it's not even one of the 50 best teams in the country. It also started the season 13-0 ATS, but has failed to cover in three of its last four. In other words, the regression has begun, and Northern Iowa shoots the ball effectively enough that it will stay within this number.

Drake has failed to cover three of its last four after an incredible ATS streak to start the season. The Bulldogs also are coming off their first outright loss. This is a great bounceback spot against a Northern Iowa team that's 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games. Lay it as Drake gets back on track with an offensive outburst.