The statistic that stood out in this matchup was Austin Peay lagging on defense, allowing opponents to shoot 47.9 percent. Belmont is one of 17 teams to shoot 50 percent from the field and the Bruins rank No. 23 in assist-to-turnover ratio. It’s no wonder why they are 16-1 (12-3-1 ATS) and have won all nine of their away games. They don’t rattle, they force opponents out of their game. Austin Peay is 3-8 ATS. Belmont is still underrated and covers Thursday.

The money is coming in on Austin Peay, but I'll still take the Bruins, who are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Governors have covered one of their last seven home games and will struggle to slow down a Belmont squad that's putting up over 83 points a game while shooting 50.1 percent overall. Lay it.