The Colonials have lost one game by 12 points this season, and I think they can keep this one in single digits. They've won two of their last three, and they're coached by a former VCU assistant. The Rams have covered once in their last four tries. Take the points in this early A-10 matchup.

George Washington hasn't played since Jan. 3 due to a riot-related postponement in DC and a COVID postponement. When the Colonials lose, it's usually close: Five of their seven defeats are by seven points or fewer. LSU transfer James Bishop and Jamison Battle are the A-10's highest-scoring duo at a combined 38.1 points per game. VCU had a seven-game winning streak snapped Saturday in a 15-point home loss to Rhode Island. There's little doubt the Rams win this game, but the spread seems too high via various models. GW is 6-2 ATS in its past eight as a home dog and the home team has covered six of the past seven in this series. The unusual start time also helps the home side.