The home team has covered the last five meetings and we have Purdue coming in with three straight road losses, albeit against the three best teams in the Big Ten. Overall, the Boilermakers are 0-4 on the road and 3-7-2 ATS overall. The Spartans ended an 0-8 ATS run by winning at Rutgers, only the second opposing team to win there in two seasons. The Michigan State defense stepped up and held Rutgers to 18 of 59 shooting (30%). I’m looking for something similar here. Michigan State to cover.

The Boilermakers are 0-4 on the road and now visit a Michigan State team that rediscovered its mojo in a 68-45 win over Rutgers. The Spartans not only held Rutgers to 30 percent shooting, they outrebounded the Scarlet Knights by 20. Look for the home team to improve to 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.