I make the Blue Devils -10 at home against this Florida State team. The only potential issue is lingering fatigue after the North Carolina game, but the lack of travel makes it less of a concern, and not something that really needs a manual adjustment. Lay it with Duke as they pick up a win and cover at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

At first glance, I was thinking Over because of the past two scores for both teams. However they both faced opponents outside of the Top 50. Florida State's long, athletic players can frustrate Duke into some longer possessions than it is used to. The Seminoles struggled in low-scoring, half-court games vs. Virginia and Purdue, averaging just 56 points in three games. I don't think Florida State scores 70 and I don't think its defense allows more than 78.5. Over the last 27 meetings between these two, the Under has cashed in 19 of them with one tie.

Both these teams haven’t fared well against the spread lately, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. Duke averages an 84-62 score at home, but FSU is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with Duke, winning the last four outright. I scrapped the side, but the strongest trend in the game is going Over the total like nine of Duke’s 12 home games have gone and seven of their last eight overall. FSU is 5-1 to the Over in its last six games. I’m on the Over.

Even the masterful Coach K will be challenged to prevent a letdown two days after an exhausting win-for-the-ages at mega-rival North Carolina. FSU’s depth is second to none in the sport, and the Seminoles possess the big bodies to contain incomparable Blue Devils F Vernon Carey. Duke’s top two scorers versus the Tar Heels — G Tre Jones and G Cassius Stanley — logged 42 and 36 minutes. Fatigue could be an issue, as might Duke’s tendency not to cover at Cameron. The Devils have failed in five of the last seven home dates.