Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Both the Houston Cougars and Kentucky Wildcats have an ability to hinder opponents defensively. This is the type of matchup that possessions will be valued in synchrony with the shot clock in the final seven minutes. Grab the Under.
Kentucky has landed Under in its two NCAA outings by a combined 30 points, in large part related to the absence of Kentucky F P.J. Washington (foot). Speculation that the Wildcats’ top scorer might return has bumped up the original total. Even if he plays, Washington’s minutes and effectiveness likely will be limited. Houston has hurdled the total just once in its past eight neutral site (i.e., tournament) games, while Kentucky has done likewise in one of the past five.
The Wildcats and Cougars are evenly matched and both make their living with air-tight defense in the half court. Kentucky star PJ Washington might play Friday, but it stands to reason he won't be at 100 percent or see typical starter's minutes. Houston has strong senior leadership with Corey Davis and a fairly deep bench. Kentucky had trouble closing out a Wofford team that got next-to-zero production from its best player. In what rates to be a tight contest, the points could easily factor into the ATS decision.
Houston coach Kelvin Sampson said something I didn’t like -- he said their DNA is defense, they recruited for that and that’s the way they play and what they emphasize. Well, I know they've had some good offensive games, and they’re good 3-point defenders and good on the boards. Kentucky could have their poblems with them, but Reid Travis is tough and I love Tyler Herro. Kentucky is also defense-first, but with more weapons and bigger and better in the post. I think Kentucky’s got too much for Houston.