This is one of those instances where one team is much better than the other in a vacuum, but the lesser team is a difficult matchup. Michigan should and would win this game more often than not, but Florida is tough defensively, and like Michigan, it moves at a slow pace. That defense and pace should keep Florida hanging around most of the game and within range of this number.

Both teams play extremely slow on offense and guard on defense like there is no tomorrow. Florida's defense ranks No. 16 but looked even more impressive holding Nevada to just 61 in its last game, Auburn to 65 and Arkansas to 50 in the SEC Tournament. All three of those teams push the pace on offense and shoot the three very well. The Gators are 12-3 under their last 15 games. Michigan's defense is No. 2 and since Jan. 1, and in its 15 wins its allowed on average just 52 points to its opponents.

Michigan is going to crush them. The Wolverines are so well-coached and they can do it all. They're good on defense, they can run the floor, and they've got four guys who can really score. I give Florida no chance at all.