Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Villanova has two guards in Phil Booth and Eric Paschall who are playing very well right now. The Wildcats really caught fire in the Big East Tournament. St Mary’s, they just beat Gonzaga, but I don’t think they can score enough. They’ll try the slow the game down. Villanova will have enough for them.
There's good value here. St. Mary's is only an 11-seed due to its conference and resume, but according to KenPom it's the No. 30 team in the country. Villanova has the pedigree, but it's ranked No. 26 by KenPom. St. Mary's plays at a slow, but efficient pace on offense, and it's solid defensively. It's also a mid-major with the kind of size down low that won't let it get pushed around by teams from larger conferences. There's upset potential here, but I'm fine just taking the points.