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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
These two teams have probably been the best two teams in the AAC all season long, so it only makes sense they'd meet for the conference title. They've been two of the best offenses in the conference, as well as two of the best defenses. With both teams playing their third game in three days, I'm counting on the defenses to win the day. The fact neither team moves at a quick pace doesn't hurt.
The Cougars bring the 13th-best defense in adjusted points per possession but they're No. 1 in effective field goal percentage defense. Houston is 7-3 to the Under the past 10 games. Cincy's defense is its strength, and the Bearcats play at a very slow pace. On average, there are only 63 possessions in their games. Cincy is 10-5 to the Under away from home, and eight of the past 10 meetings have gone Under. My projection: Houston 62, Cincinnati 60.
On Sunday, the Houston Cougars and Cincinnati Bearcats will play for the third time this season. In both matchups the Bearcats had the upper hand for periods before the Cougars overwhelmed the Bearcats. The Cougars took care of business in the final ten minutes of both games to pull away decisively. Look for that to be a key momentum factor for the Bearcats today. Grab Cincinnati.