North Carolina has won its last eight games (6-2 ATS) and the Tar Heels have won and covered twice this season against Duke. But Duke got Zion Williamson back yesterday and he was incredible. Still, Duke didn't cover and got the push to make them 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine. The most consistent trend with Duke all season has been the Under going 21-9-2. The last five meetings between these two have also stayed Under. The Under is the top play here.

Duke with Zion Williamson was on display Thursday night. The Devils are the best team in basketball with him. UNC is elite, too, but I'll bank on Duke covering with such a small spread on a neutral court.