Clemson has covered its last four games to give its rating a big boost. Kansas has won its last five games, going 4-1 against the spread, and has been doing it with its fast-pace offense that's averaging 81 points per game. The Tigers' offense has also been playing faster. Over is the top play.

Each team has been impressive against the spread, with Clemson hitting on four in a row and Kansas seven of 10. But this matchup shows too many advantages for the Jayhawks to take the points. My simulations project a six-point win, but free throws may stretch it. Lay the points on the No. 1 seed.