This is the highest total on Saturday's NCAA Tournament board, and it involves a team that didn't hit a single three-pointer on Thursday. That suggests Kentucky will pound it inside for two-point attempts against outmanned Buffalo. The Bulls thrived on threes against Arizona, but Kentucky defends the perimeter far better. Kentucky's patient offensive approach will prevail.

Everything Buffalo did on Thursday against Arizona is what the tournament is about, but I think the Bulls got a little too much credit in rating adjustments, which is making this price short. Buffalo has won seven straight, but Kentucky is playing its best ball of the season, winning and covering eight of its last nine. The Over is also 8-1 in that span. The fast pace is what drives the Wildcats' success. The spread is cheap, I'm on Kentucky.