These are very talented defensive teams, especially Baylor. The pace should be well below average with both in no hurry to get up and down the court. The Under is 9-3 in the Wildcats' 12 home games and 11-6 for the Bears in conference play.

Kansas State has won its previous three games against Baylor, and my projections show that streak running up to four on Saturday. Surprisingly, the Wildcats come into play favored at home by only 1.5 points. The model shows them winning by two possessions nearly two-thirds of the time. With an NCAA Tournament berth on the line, expect K-State to prevail.