Out in the Sun Belt, Texas-Arlington has found confidence with the spread. It has won five of its last seven with an improved offense, yet has a weak ATS link that should come into play tonight. The Mavericks have lost eight of nine road games, including four straight. Grab Texas State.

Texas State is on a run of losing eight straight, one of which was a 70-68 loss at Texas-Arlington (-7.5) on Feb 10. Texas State has gone 10-13 ATS this season, and 7-10 in Sun Belt play. They average 66 ppg and allow only 64.7 ppg, but they've been involved in faster games lately going Over the total in their last three. Arlington is one of the best Over teams in the nation (18-9), 6-1 Over in last seven. Their defense also allows opponents to shoot only 41.1 percent from the field. Arlington has lost its last four road games in Sun Belt play, but they did run BYU out of its Provo gym, 89-75, and barely lost but covered in road games at Alabama and Creighton. Look for Arlington to tighten things up in the regular season finale here, get the cover, and then be a team to bet next week all the way to the Sun Belt conference final.