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A small total has been dealt here, but the teams seem destined to land under it. SMU could be down to seven scholarship players if top scorer Malik Milton sits with a hand injury. Jarrey Foster (foot), the No. 2 scorer, is done for the season. Inspired by their 38-1 straight-up record at home under Coach Tim Jankovich, the Mustangs will rely on defense after having registered Unders in four of the five most recent home games. Cincinnati fits right in with its 4-1 Under streak and chronic Under status (38-12) over the lang haul. Recent road games have tallied point totals of 122, 110 and 87.
In nearly two-thirds of my projections, SMU is covering the 7-point spread against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are a dismal 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 road games while the Mustangs are a robust 22-8 ATS in their last 30 at home. Expect SMU to keep this one close all game and don't be shocked if the Mustangs pull off the upset.