The Gators struggled down the stretch, losing five of eight games before the tournament started. But they have rediscovered their identity with a shut-down defense. They slowed a good ETSU offense in the opener and beat Virginia at its own game, holding the Cavaliers to 39 points. Florida's last three have stayed Under, as have five of its last six. Florida's desired pace will sit well with Wisconsin, which allows just 61 ppg. Wisconsin has gone 10-1 to the Under in its last 11 as an underdog. Under is the top play here.

Of course Wisconsin is under-seeded. But the Gators are peaking at the right time. They're deep and balanced and I like them to advance at Madison Square Garden,