These two teams just played a week ago with South Dakota State winning 88-64 at home and covering -4. Seeing -4 in this game on a neutral court shows just how drastically each team has moved in opposite directions over the past month. It also shows that the Jackrabbits' campus is only 50 minutes from Sioux Falls, where the Summit Tournament is being played. Denver has lost four of its last five (1-4 ATS), including its last three. Denver's average score in the last five has been 72-81. SDSU has won and covered its last three and has gone 7-1 ATS in its last eight. I'm on the Jackrabbits tonight.

Denver has lost four of five entering this Summit League quarterfinal, but my projections show the Pioneers covering against the Jackrabbits 65 percent of the time. Denver has covered its last four neutral-site games. Back the Pioneers.