VCU had its nine game win-streak snapped at Rhode Island on Saturday, and while I still have the Rams rated a half-point higher than Dayton, I've got them on a slight downward cycle just because they aren't meeting high expectations. They've covered just three times in their last nine. They met four weeks ago with VCU winning at home but failing to cover. Dayton hasn't lost since, going 7-2 ATS in the last nine. Dayton has gone 18-8 ATS this season and holds opponents to 38.8 percent from the field at home. I'm on Dayton to cover tonight.