It’s been a poor run of form for Wolfsburg. They are winless in their last 10 matches, with seven of those ending in defeat. While they haven’t lost by two or more goals since a 4–0 thrashing against Stuttgart, the underlying performances haven’t been much better, especially in the xG department. Injuries have piled up, and they’ll also be without a key presence in the middle with defender Moritz Jenz sidelined. Leverkusen haven’t been in top form themselves, but with no European commitments, they can fully focus on climbing the table. The goal spread offers solid value, especially with a 3–1 result well within the realm of possibility.