The Hurricanes' backs aren't quite against the wall just yet, but you can see the wall from here. Desperation may start to seep in, and that could lead to more aggressive offense -- and a shakier defense. Expect plenty of goals tonight. The Over is hitting in 64% of my model's simulations.

The Panthers have won nine of their last 10 games, despite being outshot eight times in that span. Florida has won six overtime contests this postseason, including the first two games of this series at Carolina. The Hurricanes outshot the Panthers in both meetings, 103-86. Carolina also won the faceoff battle in each game. Since 2020, the Hurricanes are 4-0 after losing back-to-back postseason contests. Carolina has won seven of its last 10 at Florida. I really like the road team in this spot.