Caesars Sportsbook has some pretty interesting new NFL vs. college football head-to-head props for this year in terms of which teams win more regular-season games. Today, let's examine the Kansas City Chiefs as short -125 favorites against the Ohio State Buckeyes (-105). There is no wins handicap – it's a pick'em. Both teams must complete all scheduled regular-season games.
Of course, Ohio State and NCAA teams play 12 regular-season games and NFL clubs now 17. The Chiefs have won at least 10 games every season since 2015 and at least 12 each of the past four seasons. As long as Patrick Mahomes stays healthy, double-digit wins seem likely, although the Chiefs did take one big hit this offseason in trading away All-Pro receiver Tyreek Hill for financial reasons.
Hill, who averaged 86 catches for 1,214 yards and 11 touchdowns in four seasons with Mahomes as the Chiefs' starting quarterback, was dealt in March to the Dolphins. The Chiefs might be OK at wideout after signing JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling and drafting Skyy Moore out of Western Michigan in the second round. If Mahomes gets hurt, well, Kansas City is up a creek with Chad Henne as the backup.
Early NFL lookahead odds have Kansas City an underdog just once this season: Week 4 at Tampa Bay. The Chiefs could easily be dogs, though, in a handful of other games – probably just not at home. They are given a season over/under win total of 10.5 at Caesars with the over a slight -115 favorite. The Chiefs do have the NFL's hardest schedule by one betting metric.
Ohio State won "only" 10 games in the 2021 regular season with upset losses to Oregon and then at Michigan for a spot in the Big Ten title game. The Buckeyes will be absolutely loaded again led by quarterback CJ Stroud, the +300 Heisman Trophy favorite, and receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+4000 for Heisman). Those two hooked up for record-setting numbers to close last season in the Rose Bowl win over Utah.
Coach Ryan Day's team has a tough season opener at home against Notre Dame but has opened as a 15-point favorite. Hard to see where the Buckeyes might be regular-season underdogs with only four road games: Michigan State, Penn State, Northwestern and Maryland. They will not be home dogs and in fact might be at least -10 in each of those eight games. Ohio State has a win total of over/under 11.0 but the over is a solid -140 favorite.
Free pick: Ohio State (which is probably going 12-0)
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