Texas isn't going to lose this game, but the Raiders run their offense so crisply and shoot so well (nation-best 40.9 percent from deep) that I like them to cover. Patriot League teams catching double digits are 10-4 ATS in the NCAA Tournament since 2000, per analyst Steve Makinen. Colgate has lost its last three first-round games by seven, 17 and seven. Until catching fire in the Big 12 Tournament, the Longhorns were just 4-6 straight-up away from Moody Coliseum. Grab the points.