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Philly scored 3 runs in the 9th last night to steal a game the Angels surely thought they had won, and I think that momentum carries into today's game. Zack Wheeler has been a stud and his xERA of 2.37 is only slightly higher than his 1.93 ERA, pointing to his results being very real. Wheeler has allowed just 2 hits in his last 13.1 innings while striking out 16 and allowing 0 earned runs in that time. He did walk 6 batters over those two starts but conveniently, the Angels feature one of the lowest walk rates vs right handed pitching. I think Philly does enough offensively vs Sandoval & Co to win by two. Shoutout to Sia who is on this from EE!
If it weren't for bad news, the Angels would probably have no news at all, with Mike Trout's injury (knee; sidelined indefinitely) the latest damper to be put on the Halos. The pitching also continues to be suspect, with closer Carlos Estevez blowing the save and the game last night to the Phils, who look capable of causing real damage in this matinee against Patrick Sandoval and his 6.33 ERA. Note Zack Wheeler's dominating efforts in his last two starts, allowing just one hits to each of the Chisox and Reds across 13 1/3 IP, and the Angels were just 4-10 at the Big A in April. Play Phillies on Run Line
I think it's a good spot to the lay the run line with the obvious pitching edge in Wheeler over Sandoval, but also the obvious bullpen edge on the Phillies side as well. Wheeler has been outstanding over his last two starts while Sandoval slipped quite a bit in his last two against the Twins and Reds. The Phillies have won 5 of 6 and each of those wins were by 2 or more runs. They do it again in Anaheim.
In my opinion this should be at 16.5 outs for the current odds, instead of 17.5 (or at least -160 for this line). Sandoval hasn't gone six innings yet in 6 tries and he was under this line in 19/28 starts last year. It will be interesting to see what lineup the Phillies put out, with a day game following a night game. JT Realmuto caught all 9 innings on Tuesday so normally I'd say he sits here but he's caught every Zack Wheeler start so far, and he had the day off Monday so I think he plays. Also playing Sandoval over 1.5 walks at -163 on Caesars.
The Phillies bats have been red hot and have scored five or more runs in six consecutive games. They will face lefty Patrick Sandoval who has really struggled to start the season posting a 6.33 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. Sandoval has failed to record 6 IP in one of his six starts this season and 25/34 starts dating back to last season.
Patrick Sandoval has struggled to start the season although his strikeout numbers are in mostly in line with his career averages. However he is facing a Phillies lineup that has been as potent as any over their last 10 games. In addition to racking up a ton of runs, the Phillies are barely striking out and I believe there is a good chance they are able to end Sandoval's night prematurely.