The 2024 Goodyear 400 will take place on Sunday at Darlington Raceway, with the green flag scheduled to drop at 3 p.m. ET. Kyle Larson scored his second victory of the season in dramatic fashion last week, winning in Kansas by 0.001 seconds. It was the closest margin of victory in NASCAR history and Larson has opened up a 29-point lead at the top of the NASCAR standings. Larson is the +425 favorite (risk $100 to win $425) in the 2024 Goodyear 400 odds, while Denny Hamlin is just behind him at +450.

Martin Truex Jr. (+650), William Byron (+800) and Tyler Reddick (+800) round out the top five in the 2024 NASCAR at Darlington odds. Before scouring the 2024 Goodyear 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Darlington predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2024 Goodyear 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 Goodyear 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model was red-hot during the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. 

It also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning again in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted a Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021 and hit nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Darlington and released its projections.

The model knows Darlington Raceway is one of the most historic tracks in NASCAR. "The Lady in Black" first hosted the NASCAR Cup Series in 1950 and it has since hosted 125 races in NASCAR's top circuit. The 1.366-mile, egg-shaped oval originally got its shape because the owner of the track wanted to preserve a fishing hole at one end of the property. Larson and William Byron gave Hendrick Motorsports a sweep at Darlington last season and Chevrolet has won three in a row after going 11 races winless at Darlington from 2014 to 2022.

For the 2024 Goodyear 400, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a +1600 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Darlington odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., who is second in points and one of the Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2024 Goodyear 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Darlington odds longer than +1500 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2024 Goodyear 400, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Darlington leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 18 winners, including three already this year!