Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Both teams are playing out the string. Look for Patrick Peterson to contain Julio Jones and for David Johnson to have success on the ground. Falcons win a close one.
The 4-9 Falcons are going to finish with a losing record, and those teams have no business laying 10 points late in the season. Teams that finish .500 or worse on the year but find themselves at eight-point favorites or higher in Games 14 or 15 are 11-23-1 against the spread, which makes sense, as you typically need to play hard and have a complete game to cover a large number. We can't expect that from the Falcons right now, so even though the Arizona offense is putrid, I like their chances to keep this game closer than the market thinks.