Both teams are tough to pin down, so why go with Carolina? Well, defending Super Bowl champions tend to be overvalued in the market, which partly explains why Philadelphia has covered once in the past five outings. Plus, the Panthers habitually rebound well from a straight-up loss, with five consecutive covers in the subsequent games. (They fell to Washington last Sunday). Their defense is a notch above average and, with the Eagles’ running game impaired by injuries, figures to be stingy. A five-point spot in a game with moderate projected scoring is enticing.

Philly is getting healthy offensively, the QB is playing well, and there are real problems with Carolina's offense. It's too much Cam Newton and not enough Christian McCaffrey. Lay the points.

It took six games but the Eagles finally put together a complete game against the Giants last Thursday. Now, my trusty simulations say the Birds do it again versus the Panthers. The projections show the Eagles covering the spread 60 percent of the time and winning by an average of nine points. Carson Wentz is regaining his 2017 form and that spells bad news for Cam Newton and the Panthers. Back the Eagles on Sunday.