Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Love the Bears in this spot as a home-field favorite. There is enough firepower there on both sides of the ball to take care of Tampa Bay, which does have talented receivers but does not have a running game that can sustain the offense for four quarters. You saw the real Ryan Fitzpatrick last week, and he is on his way to reverting to the mean.
This shapes up as a breakout game for the Bears offense, while the defense should be swarming at home. Lay it.
The Bears won in a tough spot against a mediocre opponent last week, having to come back from an early 14-0 deficit. The final score might not have impressed after they were huge road favorites, but they had no business wearing that distinction anyway. At home, where they have an above-average HFA, I like them to handle a Bucs team coming off short rest. Ryan Fitzpatrick started turning into a pumpkin last week, and now he'll have to worry about any mistake getting him sent to the bench with Jameis Winston back with the team. Bears defense carries the day.
Tampa Bay has soared to three Overs this season, even with a sky-high total of 55 on Monday. The Bucs can continue the pace with their up-tempo offense, regardless which QB is behind center. The Bears have hardly been ablaze on offense, but will benefit from a Bucs secondary torn asunder by injury. With SS Chris Conte (knee) out, joining CB Vernon Hargreaves (hip), the visitors must rely on three rookies in pass defense. It’s time for Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky to finally grasp new coach Matt Nagy’s faster-paced offense.
I love the Bears this week. Ryan Fitzpatrick is coming back down to earth, and the Bears' defense is as good as there is right now. Fitz is going to be under siege.
Whoever lines up under center for Tampa Bay, they'll be facing a much tougher defense than any they've encountered so far this season. The Bears defense has been fantastic outside of the 30 minutes when Aaron Rodgers was firebombing it, but that's just what he does to the Bears. I see the Bears limiting the Tampa offense all day, and I don't see the Bears offense doing much because it hasn't all season. Take the Under.