Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Ezekiel Elliott has quietly had a fine season to this point, but "fine" is not what we expect from one of the top three running backs in the NFL. Fans -- and particularly fantasy football players -- want to see greatness from Zeke, and Sunday provides that opportunity. Try as he might, Matt Patricia's defense should not have an answer for Zeke, which will not only allow the Cowboys to chew clock and be effective on the ground but also open up the passing game some. Dak Prescott should have a good game, too, while Dallas' defensive backs have a great opportunity to slow down a trio of talented Lions receivers.
Line familiarity on one team is common in the NFL. The Dallas Cowboys have not been favored or an underdog by more than three points all season. Issues with offensive play calls and team chemistry may be an ongoing issue. Look for improvements this week at home but not enough to cover the number. Grab Detroit.
The Lions are coming off a huge win over the Patriots in a primetime game. That alone is cause for concern. The real issue here is the Lions run defense is awful. Look for the Cowboys to feed Zeke at home. Zeke should easily top 100 yards and find the endzone at least once in this game. Stafford is good for at least one turnover against this very solid Dallas pass defense. My ratings make the Cowboys -2.5 on neutral field and -5.5 at home. This game is a clear play for me at -3.
This is a game where I expect the Cowboys to excel running the ball, which helps chew up clock. The Dallas defense has also been playing well, and I can see them keeping the Lions offense from going off. These are also two teams that play slow, meaning that we should get fewer plays than we would in a more explosive matchup. This seems like a "first team to 20 wins" matchup, so I'm jumping on the Under here.
I'm fading the Lions coming off an emotional first win for their head coach against his former team. The Lions are getting absolutely gashed on the ground, giving up an NFL-worst 5.4 yards per carry. That plays right into the Cowboys' strength, as they average a league-best 6.0 yards per carry. The Dallas defense has played really well despite the 1-2 record, holding each of their first three opponents under 300 yards while ranking fourth in both net yards per attempt allowed and yards per carry allowed. Expect the Cowboys to roll here.
Dallas will be able to run on Detroit even though the Cowboys couldn't run on Seattle. This line is a bargain. Ezekiel Elliott will have a big game. Detroit going on the road, off beating New England -- the Lions just aren't a good team.