Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
This is the Browns' best shot at a win in 2017 and I like them to be competitive here. While the Bears have the better rookie QB, Mitch Trubisky still threw three picks last week. Grab the points in what should be an ugly, close game.
Here's a game Cleveland can win. The Bears have been favored seven times over the last three years, and they've managed to go 0-7 straight up in those games. They lost Carson Wentz's first road start and Jimmy G's first 49ers start (in Chicago). They were up 13-0 in Chicago after three quarters against 2016 Blake Bortles and lost. They got smoked as favorites in Tampa. They lost to Blaine Gabbert's 49ers in 2015 by giving up a 44-yard Gabbert TD run with less than two minutes left, then allowing a 71-yard Gabbert-to-Torrey Smith TD in OT. What I'm saying is, losing to the 0-14 Browns as 6.5-point favorites would be completely on brand for this team.
Examining both the Bears and Browns will offer many comparisons. Both have been in numerous games, only to fall apart late. Attraction for the Browns to avoid going winless is something bettors continue to chase. Yet, there has been little balance of play calls offensively, which has only become worse with receiver Josh Gordon’s return. This should play into the hands of Chicago, which sticks to its game plans under John Fox.
This game features two rookie QBs, both of whom have shown promise but also typical growing pains. It will ultimately come down to the running game and playcalling. And to be quite honest, that’s a push between the two. I see this one being extremely close and am taking the points.