Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Matt Moore is an upgrade over Jay Cutler and gives the Dolphins a chance to be competitive here. The line is back up to a key number. Grab the points.
Do not look at any trends. Do not ponder any matchups. The only number or factoid that matters is the line, a season-high 16.5. Underdogs receiving more than 14 points historically do well. The Patriots are recovering from a two-game road trip near and across the southwest border, and they would welcome a bit more recovery time. Dolphins QB Jay Cutler, in concussion protocol, is iffy, but they probably are better off offensively with Matt Moore. Miami has reached the 20s in scoring three straight weeks, so it’s on the defense to restore its early-season luster. If the Dolphins’ O and D could ever show up on the same day, this team would be no pushover.