Green Bay without Aaron Rodgers has scored 44 points in the last three games. Chicago averages 16.8 ppg and its defense allows just 15.8 ppg at home. Go Under.

The Packers have covered 11 of the past 14 meetings with the Bears, all as favorites thanks to Aaron Rodgers leading the way. But this is a much different situation. Brett Hundley will be the QB for Green Bay again and he hasn't shown any signs that he's capable of putting together a sustained drive in three games -- unless the defense is playing prevent defense with a minute to go in a blowout. Not doing well off the bye Monday night at home was very telling. The Packers have looked awful in all three games Hundley took the most snaps. The Bears' running game and opportunistic defense do enough to cover the number here.

Jumping on this because it could move upward. The Bears have been extremely competitive since Mitch Trubisky took over at QB. They've covered four straight (if you got a good line at New Orleans). The Packers are in disarray and traveling on a short week. Lay the field goal.

The Bears at home should work this Packers team with Brett Hundley under center. Green Bay just simply isn't the same without Aaron Rodgers, and if Mike McCarthy couldn't get them schemed up to beat Detroit coming off a bye at home, it won't be much better in a road game on a short week. A field goal is a modest price to pay for the better defense and better running game playing at home.

The Bears are a much better team than the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers, a team that could do nothing at home on Monday night. Chicago gets extra rest to prepare for this game, and I like their excellent defense to hold a not-ready-for-primetime Brett Hundley in check. The Packers defense was also uninspiring against the Lions, leaving receivers wide open all night. Mitch Trubisky is still growing, but he's shown enough to believe he's the better QB in the matchup. Chicago also has the better running game and better defense here. Lay the three while you can.

Trust is everything in any relationship. Right now, John Fox is screaming from the tallest mountain that he does not trust the ball in the hands of his rookie QB. That mindset makes them easier to defend and I expect the Packers to be the direct beneficiary of the Bears' one-dimensional approach.