Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Expert Picks
This line is rising fast, for good reason. Take the Seahawks despite Houston's extra rest. This is the time of year when Pete Carroll's teams kick things into gear.
The Texans offense has been nearly unstoppable with Deshaun Watson under center, but this is a test unlikely any he's faced so far. Going into Seattle and conquering an elite passing defense is different than running up the score on the Titans and Browns. The Seahawks should roll over the Houston O-line, and their elite secondary will limit big plays. The Texans also have to deal with an unfathomable distraction internally after their owner's comments on Friday. An unfocused team has no chance of going to Seattle and winning. Seahawks roll.
This could be a scary spot to an underdog with an above-average defense, even with DE J.J. Watt on the mend. But the home-field edge, widely overemphasized in the NFL, is real with the Seahawks, who have covered in six of the last eight outings. While rookie QB Deshaun Watson has awakened the Texans’ offense, he has yet to confront a defense of this caliber — and in such a hostile setting. The Seahawks have allowed 11 points per game during a win streak of three, and they have defeated outright the last four visitors to CenturyLink Field with first-year QBs. If the ‘Hawks can reach the low-20s on the scoreboard, they should be safe.
The Over has hit in Houston’s last four games, but the Under has hit in four of Seattle’s six. The Seahawks have allowed more than 18 points just once, and the defense is finally showing its expected, dominating form. My projections show Seattle’s offense just doing enough while the Texans struggle to get going. Take the Under.
The Texans' offense is clicking right now and it's helped them go Over the total in their last four games while scoring 33 points or more in each. But it's elevated this total to a number that isn't respecting the Seattle defense as much as it should. The Seahawks' defense is finally getting everyone on the same page and they have the look of being that Seattle defense we've all respected in recent years. They've stayed Under in their last two, and they keep this one Under as well.
This game has a ton of intrigue. You have two exciting quarterbacks facing staunch defenses. Even without JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus, the Texans match up well with the Seahawks. Rookie QB Deshaun Watson possesses a lot of the same traits as Russell Wilson. To pull the outright upset, Houston needs to run the ball effectively; the Giants could have done that against Seattle last week, but didn't stick with it. The Texans will stay committed -- especially with a QB who aids the ground game. Houston ranks third in rushing at 137.7 yards per game. Add in the fact that LT Duane Brown is returning to a team rested off the bye, and I like the Texans to win outright. The game at New England showed the world Watson could play; this game will show he can win, just like he did with regularity at Clemson. Take Houston on the money line.