Jared Goff committed three turnovers at home last week and now he's facing an equally tough defense on the road. Jacksonville will pound the ball with Leonard Fournette against a Rams defense allowing 4.5 yards per carry. Take the Jags.

Look for the Rams to stack the box early against Fournette as they force Bortles to beat them with his arm. I love the Rams getting half a point in the first half.

These two teams are coming off incredibly different performances. The Rams probably should have beaten the Seahawks in the final seconds despite turning the ball over five times, including three lost fumbles. Conversely, the Jaguars were gift-wrapped a road win over the Steelers thanks to five interceptions, including several on ricochets, yet they only managed 82 net yards passing in the blowout win. Consider this a course correction for both teams. The Rams are clearly the more talented team to me, and the Jags don't have a typical three-point home-field advantage. I love getting points against Blake Bortles, so I'm all over this one.

Rams games have stayed Under just once since the penultimate weekend of 2016, while Jaguars contests have jumped the total in every game after the 2017 opener. A 10-point afternoon for the Rams last Sunday was a blip; they have rung up 46, 41 and 35 alone in three of their five outings. Jacksonville’s offense is powered by rookie RB Leonard Fournette, the league’s No. 2 rusher. Yet he could be outgained by Rams RB Todd Gurley, who takes aim at a defense with the second-highest ground yardage yield.

The Jaguars are playing outstanding defense. The Rams are playing fluid, above-average offense. Something's gotta give. I don't trust Jags QB Blake Bortles. He's the X-factor in this one.