Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Starting a season 5-0 is very difficult, but the Chiefs are in a great spot to do just that with a week 5 matchup with the Texans. Look for Kansas City to play well early in this game. Take the Chiefs -0.5 in the first half.
The Chiefs are the league's only undefeated team and they're facing a rookie QB on Sunday night. But this is a great spot for the Texans. KC goes on the road on a short week. Kareem Hunt will get his yards but the Texans will make it tougher on him than any team he's faced yet. Back the home dog.
Chiefs coach Andy Reid always has his teams prepared on the road, where he is 20-9 in the last 29 games. This is a value spot on Kansas City against a Texans team that is receiving a lot of support.
Chiefs backers got a miracle cover on the final play last week. But for the most part backing them gives you a team that refuses to turn over the ball, which equates to wins and covers. Last season, they led the NFL with a plus-17 turnover ratio and so far this year they're fourth at plus-5. No picks by Alex Smith and the lone fumble was by Kareem Hunt on his first career carry at New England. I think the big difference here is inevitable mistakes by Texans rookie QB Deshaun Watson. I'm on the mistake-free Chiefs.
Two of the red-hot teams in the AFC face off in prime time. As much as Alex Smith has improved his deep ball this year, he’s still the ultra-conservative Alex Smith that we’ve seen throughout his career. Deshaun Watson will continue to play lights out, making the Chiefs' offense pay for their non-scoring drives.
Chiefs’ totals remain amazingly consistent for this season. The lowest closing number has been 46.5, the highest 47.5, according to Covers.com. The above-average number in the opener owed more to New England’s high-powered offense. But K.C. unveiled an unknown RB, Kareem Hunt. Assisted by the versatile Tyreek Hill, he injected a big-play element that was lacking. In Week 3 the Chiefs appeared to revert to previous seasons, with just 16 first downs and 311 yards. But they rang up 29 and 429 on the ’Skins, which suggests that the high productivity will remain in place. Texans QB Deshaun Watson has settled in after serving as a backup throughout training camp. His main sidekicks, WR DeAndre Hopkins and RB Lamar Miller, are pitching in. Though Houston cannot maintain the current torrid pace, its offense must be given the benefit of the doubt for now.