The Vikings have covered 23 of their last 30 home games, but none of those were with Case Keenum at QB, and he's the one taking the controls Sunday with Sam Bradford out again. Last week, Keenum engineered the offense and scored only seven points. In this spot, there's a greater disparity between offenses, which makes Tampa Bay a good wager laying less than a FG.

With Sam Bradford unexpected to play, this total should drop before kickoff. The Vikings have an excellent defense that should hold up well against the Bucs at home, while Case Keenum isn't likely to light up the scoreboard. Expect something in the 20-17 range.