Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
These teams played a 15-13 game late last season and I expect another grinder Sunday. The Ravens have played four straight Unders, three of those coming at home. Their strong defense gets a lift with Jimmy Smith's expected return. Go Under and look for a tight, low-scoring game in a playoff atmosphere.
The Ravens are riding a historically great rushing defense to playoff contention while getting virtually nothing on offense. The Dolphins, who have been banged up on the offensive line in recent weeks but should be getting a bit healthier, are far better running the ball than throwing it, which isn't great for this particular matchup. Throw in Miami's quality defense, and points are going to be hard to come by in Baltimore this week. I think Miami has a chance at getting the upset, but either way, this should be a low-scoring game barring some craziness.
The Dolphins have won six straight and are expected to get two key offensive linemen back. Though DeVante Parker likely won't play, Kenny Stills and Leonte Carroo can make plays deep to complement Jarvis Landry's short routes. Baltimore's defense deserves a ton of respect, but the Dolphins' mojo is real, and I love getting the hook. This has the feel of a 20-17 game either way.