Russell Wilson isn't fully healthy. This is the Seahawks' second straight road game following the Sunday night OT affair in Arizona. New Orleans has played well in three straight games, including last week's 6-point loss in Kansas City. Grabbing the field goal before this line falls back to 2.5.

The Seahawks get an extreme change of pace after last week's 6-6 draw at Arizona when they travel to the Superdome, where the Saints are currently on an 8-0-1 Over run. I like the Seahawks to score a bunch like they did the three previous games before Arizona, but I'm not so sure the Saints will have success against the Seattle defense, which has me staying away from the total. New Orleans has covered its last three, but its streak should end here.

After playing well for three straight weeks against teams with subpar defenses, the Seahawks struggled to score points last Sunday night. But it was a tough spot for them on the road against their top division rival in a game the Cardinals had to have. The Saints should provide a much more forgiving defense this week; they've given up 35 points or more in each of their three home games this year. Seattle's defense hasn't given up more than the 24 points it surrendered to an elite Atlanta squad. The Saints don't have the pass rush to attack Seattle's weak offensive line. It all adds up to a comfortable Seattle win.

I like the Seahawks, who give up 14 points per game, to slow down the Saints' high-octane attack and cover this modest spread. My simulations have Seattle covering 61 percent of the time.