The computer says we don't have much of an edge in this one with my number at exactly 5.5 for the Patriots, but I'm going to take the Patriots as road favorites. New England was completely embarrassed by the Bills in Foxboro and I expect them to return the favor today in Buffalo. The Bills are without LeSean McCoy and have played a little above their head in the last few games. Patriots win by at least a touchdown.

The Patriots come into this game looking for revenge after being shut out by the Bills at home with Jacoby Brissett at QB. Bill Belichick knows this is a game he has to have, as a Bills sweep could put the division in jeopardy in the chance it comes down to tiebreakers. The Bills offense continues to be ravaged by injuries. Shady McCoy was far less than 100 percent last week, and Tyrod Taylor's No. 1 receiving option was Marquise Goodwin. They aren't much healthier this week, and Buffalo will have trouble scoring many points. With Tom Brady under center, the Pats won't.

The 7s are starting to show up in the marketplace so grabbing this now. The last six times the Patriots lost the first game of a divisional home-and-home series, they won the rematch by 28, 28, 42, 17, 20 and 31 points. Don't see how Buffalo can keep up with New England here, given the Bills' injuries at running back and wideout.