Yep, I am taking bust QB Brock Osweiler's team and giving points. Crazy, huh? Not really, when you consider that the Lions’ opposing passers have compiled the highest rating -- by far -- in the league. Their only decent CB, Darius Slay (hamstring), is doubtful. So what if Detroit has won three in a row straight up? Their total margins were a measly seven points. Their offense was asleep last Sunday against the Redskins until the fourth quarter. Houston is 4-0 at home, with an average margin of 6.5 points.

The Texans are 3-0-1 ATS at home and 0-3 ATS on the road. They looked bad on national TV and that's why we're getting this under a field goal. With Lions top CB Darius Slay (hamstring) not expected to play, this sets up as a nice bounceback game for Brock Osweiler, DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller.

I’ve been driving the “Houston isn’t good” train all season, but they are 4-0 at home, beating mediocre teams like the Bears and Titans in Houston. The Lions have been the cardiac cats this year, but their recent stretch of three comeback wins all came at home, and all could have just as easily been losses. I trust them far less on the road, and with a trip to Minnesota looming in Week 9, Detroit is in a bad spot here. The Texans rush game dominates the bad Lions defense, giving Brock Osweiler an easy path to victory for a change.