Washington has become one of the NFL's most balanced offensive teams, and I see the Redskins running the ball well against a Lions team giving up 4.7 yards per carry. I also like the expected return of Redskins rookie LB Su'a Cravens from a concussion. Back Kirk Cousins in his Michigan homecoming.

We've seen this pattern time and again from Matthew Stafford. Once September is over, he enters a new level of play. Seemingly without a ground game, he has lifted Detroit to close wins over the Eagles and Rams. Washington has won four straight games despite Kirk Cousins' costly errors. The Redskins are facing a hostile environment and a confident QB in Stafford -- their win streak ends.

I was a big believer in the Lions coming into the year, but their defense has proven to be horrible, thanks in part to injuries to key players. They haven't generated many turnovers, and they'll need them here if they want to win. Washington racked up nearly 500 yards against the Eagles, and the Washington defense has done a better job stopping the pass than the rush, something that bodes well against a Lions offense strong at passing. Washington has four straight covers and is 2-0 SU on the road this year. They keep rolling against a Detroit team that doesn't do much well.