The best way to slow the Falcons' high-powered offense is getting some help from Mother Nature with wind and rain and there will be plenty of that over the weekend in Seattle. The passing game will have difficulty being successful, so expect both teams to be in a conservative, slow-down mode. That gives the edge to Seattle and also the Under. The top play here is the Under.

This is a matchup of the league's No. 1 offense and defense. I'll side with Seattle's top-ranked stop unit, especially considering the Seahawks are off a bye and the Falcons are playing their second straight road game. I expect the Seahawks to hold Atlanta under 20 points, and Seattle is covering 57 percent of my simulations.

The Falcons are red-hot offensively because they pressure you in so many ways. Their running game is good and their passing game is a direct beneficiary of it. Matt Ryan has played well, but Matt Ryan also doesn’t do so well vs. pressure. Guess what the Seahawks are able to do for four quarters? Pressure! Russell Wilson had two weeks to get healthy. Look for Seattle to hand Atlanta its second loss, and cover.

This game pits arguably the league's best defense against inarguably its top offense. While the Falcons didn't light up a great Denver defense, they got a tough road win thanks to an inspired effort by their defense. I don't see them doing the same in Seattle, as the difference between a rested Russell Wilson and an underprepared Paxton Lynch can be measured in light years. The Seahawks score in the 30s in this game, and though the Falcons have the ability to keep up with nearly anyone, the Seahawks defense should hold them largely at bay, earning a win and a cover.