Giving a-field-goal-plus on the road is playing with fire. (As evidence, I could show you the body scars.) Yet Pittsburgh is a bargain in light of the line’s drop from 5.5 after the Eagles’ win on Monday. While both are 2-0, the difference in the caliber of opponents is stark. Rookie QB Carson Wentz has been applause-worthy -- no picks! -- but he is no Ben Roethlisberger. Ageless DeAngelo Williams has nicely filled the RB void resulting from Le’Veon Bell’s suspension. Steelers cover in a semi-shootout.

Philadelphia is 2-0 behind rookie quarterback Carson Wentz, who is no match for Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger, right? Perhaps, but the Eagles have played so well defensively that Wentz does not need to do much to earn another victory here. He has yet to turn the ball over, which will be the key again. My simulations have Philly winning 46 percent of the time as a dangerous home dog.

Carson Wentz has looked great. Carson Wentz has played the Browns and Bears. Carson Wentz will throw his first (and second) interception of the season against a much tougher defense. Antonio Brown is going to have a huge game after being limited by the Bengals in week 2. I have the Steelers projected as the second best team in the AFC and they should be at least 7-point favorites vs. the rookie. Lay the points.