Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Oakland is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games as an underdog, and you can't tell me that Tennessee is a tougher place to play than New Orleans, where the Raiders won in their season opener. Tennessee is coming off an stunning win at Detroit, which is the only reason this team is favored here. My simulations have Oakland winning 56 percent of the time.
According to Football Outsiders, the Raiders have the league’s No. 1 offensive DVOA through the first two weeks. They also have the No. 32 defensive DVOA. This is going to happen when you play two NFC South teams with top-tier offenses and horrendous defenses. Tennessee poses the toughest defensive test yet for the Raiders (no, really), but the Titans offense is much easier to defend than that of the Saints or Falcons. I generally don’t like taking the Raiders in 1 p.m. games, but they’ll find enough offense to earn a win here, just like they did last year in Nashville.
The Raiders are going to be fun to watch all season, and it's not just because of an offense that has averaged 470 yards and 31.5-points through two games. It's their defense, or lack of it, which has allowed 34.5 points and 517 yards a game. Yes, it's only two games, but both flew Over the total. The TItans want to run and grind clock, but they'll be forced to keep up and they'll have success like both New Orleans and Atlanta did. The high scoring trend has been an ongoing thing for Oakland, which is 13-6-2 to the Over in its last 21 games.