The line move under a touchdown has given us a strong play on the Cowboys. My simulations show Dallas covering 59 percent of the time as I project a 10-point win. Get this before it bounces back up to 7.

The Bears will be without Jay Cutler and will be going with veteran Brian Hoyer. Against the Eagles, you saw a ton of inconsistency with Chicago?s offense. The Bears are better on the perimeter than they are running the ball. Dallas gets more confident each week with rookie QB Dak Prescott at the helm. Look for the Cowboys to jump ahead early and roll.

Losing Jay Cutler might actually benefit the Bears, but I still have the Cowboys as 10-point favorites in my simulations. The Cowboys lost their home opener to the Giants, but get a much weaker Bears team this week. Dak Prescott has been good and I expect him to get better as he returns home this week. Look for Prescott to throw down the field more this week as the Cowboys put up 30 points on this watered down Bears defense. Getting this game at or below a touchdown is key.

Count me among those who believe the Bears are better off sans Jay Cutler, and maybe this latest episode of ambivalence toward winning in a high-profile game will be the final straw for the franchise. In the meantime, him being out of the lineup should inspire his teammates and also increases Chicago’s value in the betting market. Rookie Dak Prescott of Dallas has shown he is worthy of respect form oddsmakers, but I’d rather play the Cowboys as an underdog or in tight lines. Look for the Bears to stay within this key number.

So Jay Cutler's not playing at Dallas on Sunday night. Given his penchant for backbreaking turnovers, is it really such a big downgrade to Brian Hoyer? The Cowboys have been a terrible home bet (16-34-1 ATS) the past several years and these Bears have covered six of their past eight road games.